Astrologers have mixed results when predicting the outcomes of presidential elections. Most tend towards progressive thinking, so it’s pretty hard to put your hopes aside enough to see things neutrally. This ensured most got it wrong in 2016 with few predicting a Trump victory. For the 2020 election, most erred on the side of caution, either too conscious of their reputation or too traumatised at the thought of another four-years of The Donald to back him (even though his chart looked ok).
What almost every astrologer DID predict, is that this 2020 US election would be shrouded in confusion and delays, as Mercury was stationing after a retrograde period, and history shows that this triggers all sorts of uncertainty in presidential elections.
What is a retrograde?
Imagine you’re sitting on a Merry-Go-Round. If you look ahead, from your peripheral vision you’ll see that as people ahead turn, it looks like they’re going backwards in comparison to you. This is what happens in our solar system. The planets all orbit around the Sun and from our earth-based perspective, the other planets appear to be going backwards. Of course they’re not, but it’s a pretty convincing optical illusion by the universe.
The impact of Mercury retrograde
Mercury rules (amongst a bunch of stuff) communication, ideas, debates, short trips, logic, shopping, and gadgets.
Retrograde periods seems to muck up the purity of a planet’s energy. For Mercury, it means that the communication isn’t clear, you’re likely to renege on deals, things you buy may need replacing and gadgets (like phones and computers) are likely to break down. (I’ll write a separate post about strategies for coping during these times).
Mercury retrograde mucks up presidential elections
Since 1952 (the first TV-era election), the USA has had 18 presidential elections. Four of them have been during Mercury retrograde. Let’s see how the ‘trickster planet’ has had fun…
1960 – Kennedy v. Nixon
This was the closest margin in the popular vote last century. A newspaper printed the winner, but then the vote swung. Nixon made a speech at 3am, but didn’t concede. Finally he did concede the next afternoon, but his party urged him for weeks to contest the results of several states where the lead was less the 0.2%. There were widespread allegations of voter fraud and mobster involvement. Nixon wisely walked away from the mess and won years later. Kennedy was assassinated during this term.
1980 – Carter v. Reagan
This was the biggest landslide win last century. Reagan was polling behind until the final political debate, where an inspired performance saw him leap to the front. In a classic Mercury Retro f**k-up, media had projected Reagan as the winner based on exit polls early in the day. Before the West-Coast booths had closed, Carter had made a concession speech – an unhelpful bit of communication that wasn’t a great move, since the last of his followers didn’t even bother casting a vote and the loss ended up being totally catastrophic. Reagan was shot during this term.
2000 – Gore v. Bush
We all remember this one? Another close vote. Gore actually went on TV and made a concession speech. But then changed his mind and took it to court before having to concede again weeks later. September 11 happened during this term.
2020 – Biden v. Trump
And here we are. Another retrograde and another interesting concession speech. Or lack of. The Donald hasn’t bothered with one, since he hasn’t lost, right! Let’s just say that ‘recounts’ are a classic Mercury retrograde symptom. Let’s cross our fingers that no horrible event mars this Presidential term.
What about Australian elections?
The most recent Australian election that involved Mercury Retrograde was Julia Gillard’s ‘victory’ in 2010. With neither major party winning a majority, it was down to hasty negotiations with independents to gain government. It took a couple of weeks for an official winner to emerge. Gillard was ousted in 2013.
Other notable Aussie examples include 1993, where John Hewson’s bit of botched communication about the GST is credited with losing him that contest, and in 1972 a little leader named Gough Whitlam won under retrograde skies. Gough didn’t make it to the next election either, being sacked by the Governor General in 1974.
The lesson? Politicians should definitely give their astrologer a call before picking an election date.